ThePropTool — NFL Research

Mean per game across the player's most recent season (game logs span 2022–2025).

Mean across the player's most recent 5 games. Compared against Season Avg in the form chip.

Percentage of games where the player went over the chosen line. Colour bands: green ≥ 65%, amber ≥ 45%, red below.

The line the hit rate is measured against. Type your own value to test any number the market might post.

🔥 Hot: L5 average is meaningfully above season average. 🧊 Cold: L5 is below it.

Direction of the last 3 games vs the player's season slope. ↑ rising, ↓ falling, ↔ stable.

Hit rate at five threshold steps around the active line. Click a rung to switch the active threshold.

Histogram of every game's total. Useful for spotting boom/bust performers (high ceiling but low floor).

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