ThePropTool — NBA Research

Mean per game across the player's most recent season (game logs span the 2023-24, 2024-25 and 2025-26 seasons).

Mean across the player's most recent 5 games. Compared against Season Avg in the form chip.

Percentage of games where the player went over the line. Colour bands: green ≥ implied prob from SB price, red ≤ implied −3pp, amber in between.

1 / over price. e.g. $1.90 over = 53% implied. Used as the hit-rate band threshold when SB has a price at the active line.

SportsBet's headline O/U line for the player. The primary chip shows the alt line closest to $2.00.

🔥 Hot: L5 average is at least +1 point above season average. 🧊 Cold: L5 is at least −1 below.

Direction of the last 3 games vs the player's season slope. ↑ rising, ↓ falling, ↔ stable.

Hit rate at five threshold steps around the SB primary line. Click a rung to switch the active threshold.

Histogram of every game's point total. Useful for spotting bimodal performers (high ceiling but low floor).

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